Juventudvs
Deportivo Maldonado
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Maldonado · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Juventud 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Juventud 2-0 Deportivo Maldonado
Original prediction
Deportivo Maldonado
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 34.0% | 22.1% | -11.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 30.0% | 26.2% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.9% | 51.7% | 15.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.8 pts
Projected Score
Juventud 0–1 Deportivo Maldonado
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Maldonado
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Deportivo Maldonado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60