Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventud · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Juventud 0-0 Danubio, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Juventud 1-1 Danubio
Original prediction
Juventud
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 45.0% | 45.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.4% | 29.8% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 25.6% | 24.8% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Projected Score
Juventud 0–0 Danubio
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Juventud
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Juventud has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JuventudDLWWW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
DanubioLLLWD
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
JuventudDanubio
38.3Attack27.2
54.3Defence55.6
38.3Form29.6
45.8Power39.5
1.11xG0.67