GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 8/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Torque · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Juventud are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atletico Torque are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Torque hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Primera División, while Atletico Torque holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Torque

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

14.0%

Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JuventudDDWLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico TorqueLWWLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
JuventudAtletico Torque
37.7Attack50.0
50.7Defence59.1
34.8Form53.0
43.4Power55.5
0.95xG1.40
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