Juve Stabiavs
Sudtirol
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie B · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sudtirol · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Juve Stabia 0-1 Sudtirol, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Juve Stabia 3-0 Sudtirol
Original prediction
Sudtirol
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 43.7% | 28.2% | -15.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.9% | 28.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 27.4% | 43.6% | 16.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.2 pts
Projected Score
Juve Stabia 0–1 Sudtirol
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Sudtirol
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Sudtirol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Juve StabiaDDWDD
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
SudtirolDLWLD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Juve StabiaSudtirol
27.8Attack50.0
55.6Defence83.3
33.3Form66.7
41.7Power67.7
0.71xG1.30