Juve Stabiavs
Pisa
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie B · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juve Stabia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Juve Stabia 0-3 Pisa
Original prediction
Juve Stabia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.07 | 30.3% | 39.6% | 9.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 31.2% | 29.1% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 38.5% | 31.4% | -7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
Juve Stabia
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Juve Stabia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00