Juve Stabiavs
Cesena
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie B · 9/18/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juve Stabia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Juve Stabia 0-0 Cesena, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Juve Stabia 1-1 Cesena
Original prediction
Juve Stabia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 41.9% | 40.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 28.6% | 29.9% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 29.5% | 29.3% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Projected Score
Juve Stabia 0–0 Cesena
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Juve Stabia
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Juve Stabia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Juve StabiaDLWLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CesenaDDWDL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Juve StabiaCesena
36.6Attack39.3
63.4Defence59.0
49.6Form45.3
52.0Power50.1
0.97xG0.78