Juan Pablo II Collegevs
Sport Boys
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 10/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sport Boys · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Juan Pablo II College 2-0 Sport Boys
Original prediction
Sport Boys
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 42.0% | 35.8% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 28.1% | 26.3% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.9% | 37.9% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Sport Boys
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Sport Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40