JFK Ventspilsvs
Skanste
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skanste · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 2-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
JFK Ventspils 1-0 Skanste
Original prediction
Skanste
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 34.7% | 22.2% | -12.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.2% | 17.6% | -6.6 pts |
| Away | 2.18 | 41.1% | 60.2% | 19.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.2–26%
Predicted outcome
Skanste
Probability
60.2%
Model confidence
60.2%
Skanste has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JFK VentspilsLLDLL
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SkansteWLWDW
GF 18 · GA 10 · avg 3.60/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
JFK VentspilsSkanste
35.1Attack71.7
29.8Defence31.7
21.1Form43.3
30.8Power47.8
1.50xG2.97