JFK Ventspilsvs
Leevon / PPK
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leevon / PPK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-3 (11%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
JFK Ventspils 0-4 Leevon / PPK
Original prediction
Leevon / PPK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.44 | 16.5% | 11.9% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.48 | 20.1% | 16.4% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.42 | 63.4% | 71.7% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–311%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Leevon / PPK
Probability
71.7%
Model confidence
71.7%
Leevon / PPK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40