JDFS Albertsvs
Valmiera / BSS
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valmiera / BSS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
JDFS Alberts 1-2 Valmiera / BSS
Original prediction
Valmiera / BSS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 31.0% | 24.5% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.4% | 19.5% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 45.6% | 56.0% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Valmiera / BSS
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
Valmiera / BSS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20