JDFS Albertsvs
Smiltene
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JDFS Alberts · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%), 5-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
JDFS Alberts 3-2 Smiltene
Original prediction
JDFS Alberts
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.14 | 79.3% | 86.9% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.80 | 13.3% | 8.5% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 12.18 | 7.4% | 4.6% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–011%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.5–010%
Predicted outcome
JDFS Alberts
Probability
86.9%
Model confidence
86.9%
JDFS Alberts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 20 · avg 1.60/4.00