JDFS Albertsvs
Metta / LU
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metta / LU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
JDFS Alberts 1-3 Metta / LU
Original prediction
Metta / LU
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.50 | 13.9% | 17.4% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.91 | 18.4% | 17.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.33 | 67.7% | 64.9% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Metta / LU
Probability
64.9%
Model confidence
64.9%
Metta / LU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20