Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Managua · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Jalapa 0-2 Managua, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Jalapa 0-1 Managua
Original prediction
Managua
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.54 | 16.4% | 8.5% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 23.0% | 16.7% | -6.3 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 60.6% | 74.8% | 14.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.2 pts
Projected Score
Jalapa 0–2 Managua
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Managua
Probability
74.8%
Model confidence
74.8%
Managua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JalapaDLDLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ManaguaWDWDW
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
JalapaManagua
16.7Attack100.0
53.3Defence66.7
23.3Form86.7
34.4Power82.9
0.49xG2.32