Jablonec IIvs
Sokol Brozany
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · 10/11/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jablonec II · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 3-0 (13%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jablonec II 3-1 Sokol Brozany
Original prediction
Jablonec II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.0% | 54.1% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 21.8% | 24.3% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.68 | 19.1% | 21.5% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.3–013%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Jablonec II
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Jablonec II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60