Izberbashvs
Spartak Nalchik
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Nalchik · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Izberbash 2-0 Spartak Nalchik
Original prediction
Spartak Nalchik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.96 | 22.7% | 17.0% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.6% | 21.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 53.6% | 61.6% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Nalchik
Probability
61.6%
Model confidence
61.6%
Spartak Nalchik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80