Izberbashvs
Nart Cherkessk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nart Cherkessk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Izberbash 0-2 Nart Cherkessk, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Izberbash 1-1 Nart Cherkessk
Original prediction
Nart Cherkessk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.26 | 27.5% | 20.6% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.5% | 24.8% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.0% | 54.6% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Projected Score
Izberbash 0–2 Nart Cherkessk
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Nart Cherkessk
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Nart Cherkessk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00