Ipswichvs
Nottingham Forest
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League · 10/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ipswich · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ipswich 1-1 Nottingham Forest
Original prediction
Ipswich
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.07 | 31.0% | 40.8% | 9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 27.6% | 26.0% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.30 | 41.3% | 33.3% | -8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Ipswich
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Ipswich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20