Internacionalvs
Santos
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 9/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Internacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Internacional 2-3 Santos
Original prediction
Internacional
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 47.3% | 39.4% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.8% | 27.5% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.78 | 24.9% | 33.0% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Internacional
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Internacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80