Internacionalvs
Botafogo
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 10/24/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Internacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Internacional 3-0 Botafogo
Original prediction
Internacional
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 47.1% | 40.1% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 26.6% | 26.4% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 26.3% | 33.5% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Internacional
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Internacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40