Internacionalvs
Atletico-MG
SCHEDULEDBrazil · Serie A · 8/22/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Internacional are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and atletico-MG hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Serie A, favouring a draw with 16.1% confidence, a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.4%
Model confidence
16.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80