Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter 5-3 Udinese
Original prediction
Inter
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 77.3% | 57.7% | -19.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.31 | 15.1% | 22.3% | 7.2 pts |
| Away | 12.49 | 7.6% | 20.1% | 12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Inter
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
Inter has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
InterLWWWW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UdineseLWWDW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
InterUdinese
88.9Attack55.6
66.7Defence44.4
100.0Form44.4
87.0Power51.1
2.00xG1.04