Intervs
Fiorentina
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie A · 10/25/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 4-0 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter 2-1 Fiorentina
Original prediction
Inter
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 70.2% | 75.1% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.43 | 17.5% | 14.3% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 7.71 | 12.3% | 10.5% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.4–09%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Inter
Probability
75.1%
Model confidence
75.1%
Inter has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
InterWWLWW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FiorentinaLLDWW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
InterFiorentina
100.0Attack38.1
57.1Defence19.0
90.5Form19.0
83.4Power28.2
3.50xG0.85