GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie A Women · 9/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inter Milano W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Inter Milano W 2-0 Fiorentina W

Original prediction

Inter Milano W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6753.8%44.8%-9.0 pts
Draw3.6624.6%21.5%-3.1 pts
Away4.1621.6%33.8%12.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Inter Milano W

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

Inter Milano W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Inter Milano WWLWWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Fiorentina WLWLWW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Inter Milano WFiorentina W
57.7Attack53.8
41.0Defence48.7
43.6Form53.8
48.3Power53.3
1.88xG1.78
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