GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Inter Miami are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Toronto FC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and inter Miami hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (66.6 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely result in the Major League Soccer, favouring Inter Miami with 8.8% confidence, a 72% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Inter Miami

Probability

73.1%

Model confidence

8.8%

Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Inter MiamiLWDWW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Toronto FCDLDDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Inter MiamiToronto FC
83.3Attack44.4
40.7Defence40.7
70.4Form31.5
66.6Power41.8
3.45xG1.34
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