GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Inter Miami 2-2 San Diego

Original prediction

Inter Miami

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4365.7%62.9%-2.8 pts
Draw5.3817.4%16.2%-1.2 pts
Away5.5416.9%20.9%4.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–17%
  2. 2.2–17%
  3. 3.3–27%

Predicted outcome

Inter Miami

Probability

62.9%

Model confidence

62.9%

Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Inter MiamiWDDDW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
San DiegoLLLWW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Inter MiamiSan Diego
81.3Attack56.0
38.7Defence44.0
60.0Form40.0
60.5Power46.6
3.08xG1.82
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