Inter Miamivs
CF Montreal
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/29/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter Miami 7-1 CF Montreal
Original prediction
Inter Miami
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 66.7% | 69.6% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.34 | 17.6% | 14.9% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 5.96 | 15.8% | 15.6% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Inter Miami
Probability
69.6%
Model confidence
69.6%
Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40