GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/29/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Inter Miami are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while CF Montreal are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter Miami hold a 28.9-point power-rating edge (66.6 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the Major League Soccer, while Inter Miami holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Inter Miami

Probability

76.8%

Model confidence

8.8%

Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Inter MiamiLLWDW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CF MontrealDDLLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Inter MiamiCF Montreal
83.3Attack44.4
40.7Defence35.2
70.4Form29.6
66.6Power37.8
3.81xG1.33
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