Instituto Res.vs
River Plate Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
River Plate Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Instituto Res. 0-0 River Plate Res., with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Instituto Res. 3-2 River Plate Res.
Original prediction
River Plate Res.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.3% | 30.4% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.3% | 31.1% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 37.4% | 38.5% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Projected Score
Instituto Res. 0–0 River Plate Res.
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
River Plate Res.
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
River Plate Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20