Argentina · Reserve League · 8/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Riva. Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Independiente Riva. Res. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Riva. Res. hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 33.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.4% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Riva. Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente Riva. Res.
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
18.4%
Independiente Riva. Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60