IF Elfsborgvs
Halmstad
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 10/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF Elfsborg · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: IF Elfsborg 2-0 Halmstad, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
IF Elfsborg 4-0 Halmstad
Original prediction
IF Elfsborg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 70.9% | 64.9% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.21 | 17.9% | 21.1% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 8.31 | 11.2% | 14.0% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Projected Score
IF Elfsborg 2–0 Halmstad
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
IF Elfsborg
Probability
64.9%
Model confidence
64.9%
IF Elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
IF ElfsborgLWWLW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HalmstadWWLLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IF ElfsborgHalmstad
47.0Attack24.2
66.7Defence39.4
56.1Form21.2
58.4Power31.6
1.99xG0.45