AIK Stockholmvs
IF Elfsborg
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 10/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF Elfsborg · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AIK Stockholm 2-2 IF Elfsborg
Original prediction
IF Elfsborg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.26 | 28.6% | 27.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 25.4% | 25.3% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 46.1% | 46.9% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.67 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
IF Elfsborg
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
IF Elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80