Hull Cityvs
Aston Villa
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League · 9/5/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hull City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hull City 0-0 Aston Villa
Original prediction
Hull City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.06 | 23.4% | 45.1% | 21.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 26.2% | 25.1% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.88 | 50.4% | 29.8% | -20.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Hull City
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Hull City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20