Hérculesvs
Juventud Torremolinos
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/20/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hércules · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hércules 1-0 Juventud Torremolinos
Original prediction
Hércules
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.0% | 40.0% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.2% | 29.1% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.84 | 18.7% | 31.0% | 12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Hércules
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Hércules has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80