Houston Dynamovs
San Jose Earthquakes
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/30/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Houston Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Houston Dynamo 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes
Original prediction
Houston Dynamo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 58.3% | 47.8% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 22.2% | 22.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.84 | 19.5% | 29.9% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Houston Dynamo
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Houston Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80