Houston Dynamovs
Minnesota United FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/25/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Houston Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Houston Dynamo 0-0 Minnesota United FC
Original prediction
Houston Dynamo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 43.3% | 41.9% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 26.3% | 27.9% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 30.3% | 30.2% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.55 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Houston Dynamo
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Houston Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40