Houston Dynamovs
FC Cincinnati
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/20/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Houston Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Houston Dynamo 2-2 FC Cincinnati
Original prediction
Houston Dynamo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 50.0% | 55.9% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 24.0% | 19.8% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 26.0% | 24.3% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Houston Dynamo
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Houston Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60