GGOALVIO

Nicaragua · Primera Division · 8/30/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Estelí · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

H&H Export 0-5 Real Estelí

Original prediction

Real Estelí

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.6719.5%29.0%9.5 pts
Draw3.5525.6%26.8%1.3 pts
Away1.6654.9%44.2%-10.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–110%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Real Estelí

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Real Estelí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

H&H ExportLWWDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real EstelíLLLWW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
H&H ExportReal Estelí
46.7Attack53.3
53.3Defence73.3
66.7Form66.7
56.3Power64.9
1.11xG1.33
View match centre →