Hellas Veronavs
Vicenza Virtus
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie B · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hellas Verona · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hellas Verona 2-1 Vicenza Virtus
Original prediction
Hellas Verona
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 50.1% | 41.0% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 26.3% | 28.4% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.97 | 23.5% | 30.6% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Hellas Verona
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Hellas Verona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80