Hellas Veronavs
Pisa
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie B · 10/25/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pisa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hellas Verona 1-1 Pisa
Original prediction
Pisa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 41.6% | 36.4% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.9% | 23.8% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 30.5% | 39.8% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Pisa
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Pisa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Hellas VeronaDLWWL
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
PisaWWLDL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Hellas VeronaPisa
66.7Attack66.7
42.9Defence57.1
38.1Form61.9
48.4Power61.6
1.63xG1.87