Hellas Veronavs
Arezzo
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie B · 9/6/2026, 3:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hellas Verona · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hellas Verona 5-0 Arezzo
Original prediction
Hellas Verona
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 54.5% | 42.0% | -12.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 26.2% | 28.5% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.83 | 19.3% | 29.5% | 10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Hellas Verona
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Hellas Verona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20