Hebar 1918vs
Fratria
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fratria · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hebar 1918 1-1 Fratria
Original prediction
Fratria
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.2% | 29.9% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.7% | 26.5% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.1% | 43.6% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Fratria
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Fratria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Hebar 1918DWWLL
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FratriaWDWWW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Hebar 1918Fratria
61.1Attack44.4
33.3Defence83.3
38.9Form72.2
47.4Power68.7
1.07xG1.51