Hebar 1918vs
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/14/2026, 2:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Etar Veliko Tarnovo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hebar 1918 4-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Original prediction
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.1% | 36.2% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.0% | 26.3% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 26.9% | 37.5% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Etar Veliko Tarnovo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80