GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Second League · 9/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hebar 1918 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Hebar 1918 1-2 Dobrudzha

Original prediction

Hebar 1918

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5059.4%65.5%6.2 pts
Draw4.0422.1%18.8%-3.3 pts
Away4.8018.6%15.7%-2.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–010%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.3–09%

Predicted outcome

Hebar 1918

Probability

65.5%

Model confidence

65.5%

Hebar 1918 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hebar 1918WWLDD

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
DobrudzhaLLDLD

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hebar 1918Dobrudzha
76.7Attack33.3
43.3Defence43.3
46.7Form20.0
54.9Power33.6
2.88xG0.97
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