Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelsea W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Chelsea W
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Chelsea W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Häcken WWWWWW
GF 21 · GA 2 · avg 4.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Chelsea WDWWWW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Häcken WChelsea W
36.7Attack100.0
56.7Defence66.7
50.0Form100.0
50.7Power89.7
1.10xG1.72