Harrogate Townvs
Sutton Utd
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Harrogate Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Harrogate Town 3-1 Sutton Utd
Original prediction
Harrogate Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.5% | 65.5% | 10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.7% | 19.0% | -5.7 pts |
| Away | 4.64 | 19.7% | 15.4% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Harrogate Town
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
Harrogate Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40