Harkemase Boysvs
Excelsior '31
COMPLETEDNetherlands · KNVB Beker · 9/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Harkemase Boys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Harkemase Boys 0-1 Excelsior '31
Original prediction
Harkemase Boys
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 41.3% | 39.0% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.5% | 27.8% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 33.2% | 33.1% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Harkemase Boys
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Harkemase Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/5.00