Hamilton Academicalvs
Edinburgh City
SCHEDULEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 8/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hamilton Academical · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Hamilton Academical are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Edinburgh City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Academical hold a 46.6-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the Challenge Cup, while Hamilton Academical holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hamilton Academical
Probability
59.9%
Model confidence
8.7%
Hamilton Academical has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80