Halmstadvs
Hammarby FF
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 10/18/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hammarby FF · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Halmstad 0-2 Hammarby FF, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Halmstad 0-1 Hammarby FF
Original prediction
Hammarby FF
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10.17 | 9.1% | 5.3% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 6.16 | 15.1% | 11.9% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 1.23 | 75.8% | 82.8% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Projected Score
Halmstad 0–2 Hammarby FF
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Hammarby FF
Probability
82.8%
Model confidence
82.8%
Hammarby FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HalmstadLWWLL
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hammarby FFLWWWD
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
HalmstadHammarby FF
23.2Attack71.0
36.2Defence69.6
20.3Form62.3
30.0Power65.7
0.47xG2.76