GVVV Veenendaalvs
DVS 33 Ermelo
COMPLETEDNetherlands · KNVB Beker · 9/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GVVV Veenendaal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
GVVV Veenendaal 4-0 DVS 33 Ermelo
Original prediction
GVVV Veenendaal
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.7% | 47.1% | -17.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.55 | 20.0% | 23.7% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 5.93 | 15.3% | 29.3% | 13.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
GVVV Veenendaal
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
GVVV Veenendaal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60