Gubbiovs
Vis Pesaro
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie C · 9/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gubbio · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gubbio 5-0 Vis Pesaro
Original prediction
Gubbio
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.2% | 38.0% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 27.9% | 28.2% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 35.9% | 33.7% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Gubbio
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Gubbio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GubbioLLWWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Vis PesaroDLWDL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
GubbioVis Pesaro
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power80.3
1.41xG1.20