GGOALVIO

Poland · Cup · 10/27/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Górnik Łęczna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Górnik Łęczna 1-0 GKS Katowice

Original prediction

Górnik Łęczna

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.8018.9%37.2%18.3 pts
Draw3.9622.9%25.8%2.9 pts
Away1.5658.3%37.0%-21.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 3.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

18.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–07%

Predicted outcome

Górnik Łęczna

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Górnik Łęczna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Górnik ŁęcznaWLLWD

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
GKS KatowiceLLWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Górnik ŁęcznaGKS Katowice
83.3Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
66.7Form50.0
68.0Power50.0
2.02xG1.38
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